Saturday, May 9, 2015

2016 Presidential Field Update

Here's where we stand:

Democrats:
  1. Hillary Clinton
  2. Bernie Sanders
Republicans
  1. Marco Rubio
  2. Rand Paul
  3. Ben Carson
  4. Ted Cruz
  5. Carly Fiorina
  6. Mike Huckabee

I'm a big Bernie Sanders fan, I love his populist stand on the issues.  That being said, he has no chance of beating Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination.  My hope is that he keeps Hillary honest and keeps her from pivoting too far to the middle. We don't need a centrist at this point in time, we need a populist who will fight for the middle class.

On the Republican side, how about we rule out Carson, Cruz and Huckabee right now.  They may play well with the far right base, but in a general election most people see them as the extremists that they are and they will they will have no chance.  Rand Paul stance on the issues will not get him the nomination, they are not in touch with anyone but the libertarian wing of the party and that's not large enough.  Carly Fiorina lacks any qualifications whatsoever for higher office, I can only think that she is eyeing the VP slot (as a female contrast to Hillary Clinton).   So IMO, that only leaves us with Marco Rubio.  The problem with Marco Rubio (and any eventual Republican nominee) is that he will need to move to the right to appease the high dollar donors on the right and that will not appease the more rational middle (and left in a general election).

What am I saying?  To me, it's looking like a Clinton/Rubio matchup AND a cakewalk to the Presidency for Hillary Clinton.

Of course, there could be another 8-12 Republican announcements before all is said and done

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