Here's how the remaining candidates rank in my opinion (as far as their chances):
Democrats:
Republicans:
After GWB, I didn't think anyone wanted another Bush in the White House. GWB was a complete disaster and Jeb was pushing many of the same policies and had many of the same advisors, nobody wanted that, especially this year. I'm guessing Kasich and Carson hold on until Super Tuesday, but not long after that. Kasich has a much better shot at a VP spot than the Presidency.
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